Premier League Predictions and best bets: Liverpool to suffer title slip at Nottingham Forest

Our football betting expert Jones Knows thinks Nottingham Forest are being underestimated as Liverpool face a tough test on Tuesday evening.

Analysing whether Manchester City are indeed "back" shows you just how important factoring in performance metrics and underlying numbers behind results is when trying to find value in the betting markets.

Please don't be fooled by three wins and 14 goals scored. This City team remain hopeless out of possession - possibly the worst team in the Premier League on that front - and have been very fortunate to concede just one goal in their last three games. Salford, of Sky Bet League Two, managed to rack up 10 shots and almost one expected goal on Saturday.

Brentford possess the dangerous and direct attackers to make City pay for their woeful pressing structure and Yoane Wissa, who scored Brentford's opening goal in the reverse fixture, can add to his seven-goal tally at home this season. The 2/1 on him scoring anytime with Sky Bet is a big price.

Physicality through the middle has wobbled Chelsea in recent weeks. Liam Delap bagged a brace for Ipswich before Jean-Philippe Mateta drew Crystal Palace level in their most recent Premier League outing which stretched Chelsea's winless run to four games in the league.

Bournemouth have grown this season under Andoni Iraola, breaking their mental block of not being able to beat the big boys with Man City, Arsenal, Man Utd and Tottenham this season. I'm happy to invest in them getting a result with Dango Ouattara, who looks set to lead the line after his weekend double and injuries to Evanilson and Enes Unal, being able to register a goal or an assist. If you place that through the BuildABet function you can attain a 15/4 shot with Sky Bet.

Graham Potter has a history of getting a reaction from players when taking over a job, winning his first game in charge of Ostersunds, Swansea and Brighton and going 10 unbeaten through the first 10 games of his Chelsea reign.

Yes, he officially started with a defeat in the FA Cup at Aston Villa but for a large portion of that encounter, the Hammers looked fully in control of the match after their early goal from Lucas Paqueta. I'm willing to invest in Potter making a fast start. And Paqueta is just the sort of player Potter can work his magic with. His shot-on-target price of 7/4 with Sky Bet stands out.

Liverpool at 8/13 with Sky Bet feels a little disrespectful to Nottingham Forest, who will make this a very tough evening for Arne Slot's men. Would a point be a bad result for the away side? I think Slot would take that right now.

In what is likely to be an intense clash under the City Ground lights, Trent Alexander-Arnold could be out with a point to prove after his sloppy and sulky performance in the 2-2 draw with Manchester United. His tackle numbers interest me based on his averages this season under Slot, which are currently tracking at the 2.8 per-game mark.

He has made three or more tackles in eight of his last 15 starts in the Premier League, including making four in the reverse fixture at Anfield. He's an odds-against price of 5/4 with Sky Bet to make three or more tackles.

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